Michelle Lujan Grisham

Data analysis appears to show abnormalities in NM election results

According to data analysis done by data researchers Jeff O’Donnell and Draza Smith, there appear to be many abnormal occurrences in the 2022 midterm elections in New Mexico.

Data published by O’Donnell and Smith shows the first ballot dump in New Mexico’s governor’s race gave incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham 80.3 percent (42,922 ballots), while Republican Mark Ronchetti only got 19.5 percent (10,538 ballots), which is apparently statistically impossible.

It is unclear where these first ballots flooded in from, but even in the state’s most far-left county, Santa Fe County, there were only 69,449 ballots cast, meaning the first dump would have been over 61.8 percent of the county’s total votes cast — an unlikely scenario. The county’s final results were 75.3 percent for Grisham to 23.4 percent for Ronchetti. 

Another dump later left the total number of ballots for Lujan Grisham at 184,382 votes to Ronchetti’s 58,329 votes, leaving him with only 24 percent of the vote to Lujan Grisham’s 76 percent margin. This disparity is not normal, especially since only Santa Fe County had anywhere near a similar percentage of ballots cast, while its population could not have mathematically given such a margin to the Democrat governor.

This same pattern appears to algorithmically go up at nearly the same percentage for Lujan Grisham throughout the night, giving the Democrat an extreme advantage in the number of ballots tabulated from the start. No such ballot increase for Ronchetti appears to have happened throughout the night despite many Republican-heavy counties overwhelmingly rejecting Lujan Grish, such as Chaves County, where Lujan Grisham only got 24.9 percent of the vote to Ronchetti’s 72.8 percent. 

This same pattern could be found in the secretary of state election, where Democrat incumbent Maggie Toulouse Oliver, who oversaw her own election, started out with 68.2 percent (49,794 ballots) of the vote to Republican Audrey Trujillo’s 31.8 percent (23,185 ballots). 

There was also a discrepancy of around 7,000 votes between the gubernatorial race and the secretary of state race, which also creates new questions about what happened with these ballot dumps and where did these ballots come from. 

A later ballot dump in that race had Toulouse Oliver with 67.1 percent of the vote to Trujillo’s 38.2 percent, another statistical abnormality. It is also unlikely these came from such a heavily Democrat district as Santa Fe due to the margin and vote numbers. It showed Toulouse Oliver with 191,360 ballots to Trujillo’s 60,689. 

Similar apparent algorithmic disparities happened in the state attorney general race, with Democrat Raúl Torrez garnering 67.3 percent (49,917 ballots) of the initial ballot dump, while Republican Jeremy Gay got 32.7 percent (24,284 ballots). Later ballot dumps followed the same pattern in both the secretary of state and governor’s races. 

Another key piece of evidence also shows that the initial ballot dump happened statewide and was not isolated in extremely Democrat-dominated places is the results from the Second Congressional District, which does not encompass Santa Fe.

Republican Congresswoman Yvette Herrell, who was projected at the end of the night to lose by around 1,000 votes, initially started out with only 20.7 percent (1,321 votes) of the first round of ballots to her Democrat opponent Gabe Vasquez’s 79.3 percent (5,071 votes).

A similar pattern carried over to the First and Second Congressional Districts. However, it appeared the algorithm was flipped in the First District, where Democrat Melanie Stansbury started off with far fewer votes counted, with it later correcting to show Stansbury with a 62.3 percent lead to her Republican opponent Michelle Garcia Holmes, who had 37.7 percent.

In the Third Congressional District, the initial margins were even more extreme, with Democrat Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez getting an initial 84.9 percent of the vote (37,622 ballots) to Republican Alexis Martinez Johnson’s 15.1 percent (6,671 ballots).

It is unclear what justification the secretary of state or other elections officials have for these statistical abnormalities, but they appear to indicate possible tampering with New Mexico’s electoral system. 

See the full data analysis by O’Donnell and Smith here.

Data analysis appears to show abnormalities in NM election results Read More »

Ronchetti concedes hard-fought governor’s race: Read his statement

On Thursday, Republican former candidate for governor Mark Ronchetti released a formal concession letter via social media after Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham was projected to be the winner of the heated gubernatorial contest: 

Unfortunately, things did not turn out the way we hoped on Tuesday night. After a long year on the campaign trail, the voters of New Mexico chose a different path than the vision our campaign laid out.

I got into this race last year for the same reason I ran for US Senate two years ago – I love this state & would do anything to try to make this a better place to live for New Mexican families. Safe streets, better schools, and more support for working families to make it to the end of the month should be the expectation, and for far too long our leaders have failed to set us on the path to attain that.

I truly hope that Governor Lujan Grisham finds success on those fronts, because that means the people of this beautiful state will be better off.

I also hope the Governor takes note of the results & prioritizes listening to those in our rural communities, and realizes that for far too long rural New Mexico has felt forgotten.

Most importantly, my family and I want to thank the thousands of you who supported my campaign with your time, resources and prayers. This campaign was a grassroots movement of people desperate for change, and it was an honor to represent you on the campaign trail and on the ballot.

I could never have made it to Election Day without the support from all of you. Every last one of you who I came into contact with shaped my perspective and vision.

This state has given so much to my family and I, and for that I will always be grateful.

God Bless,

Mark Ronchetti

According to unofficial results from the New Mexico Secretary of State, Ronchetti had 324,376 votes (46 percent) to Lujan Grisham’s 369,518 (52 percent). Libertarian Karen Bedonie garnered two percent with 17,361 votes.

Ronchetti concedes hard-fought governor’s race: Read his statement Read More »

After election win, MLG flees NM for Egypt ‘climate’ excursion

One day after winning a second term as governor, Michelle Lujan Grisham was reported to be leaving the state to go to an eco-leftist climate conference in Egypt.

The Santa Fe New Mexican’s Daniel Chacón reported, “New Mexico @GovMLG is traveling to Egypt on Friday to attend the second week of the 27th United Nations Climate Change Conference.” 

This is certainly not the first time the governor has fled New Mexico to go to a climate change function. 

In October of 2021, Lujan Grisham jetted off to a swanky climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland, where she brought along many of her political appointees to wine and dine with world leaders and speak about “climate change.” 

It is unclear how Lujan Grisham will travel to Egypt or how she will offset her carbon footprint, especially if she flies via jet as she did to Scotland.

After election win, MLG flees NM for Egypt ‘climate’ excursion Read More »

Election results: MLG gets another term, GOP makes slight gains in state House

On Tuesday, New Mexico Republicans suffered losses in the 2022 midterm election, which was mired by obsessive talk about abortion by Democrats while key issues such as crime and inflation were swept under the rug by leftists. 

In the governor’s race, Democrat scandal-ridden alleged serial groper Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham won reelection against Republican Mark Ronchetti. Unofficial results as of 2:30 a.m. Wednesday showed Lujan Grisham with 52 percent of the vote, Ronchetti with 46 percent, while Libertarian Karen Bedonie garnered two percent. Ronchetti conceded to Lujan Grisham, according to the Albuquerque Journal.

In the state House, Republicans did not succeed in most attempts at knocking off Democrat incumbents, although Jenifer Jones of Deming is leading incumbent Democrat state Rep. Candie Sweetser of Deming by 49 votes, potentially triggering an automatic recount. 

Another seat the GOP flipped appears to be Albuquerque-based House District 68, currently held by retiring Democrat Rep. Karen Bash. Republican Robert Moss leads Democrat Charlotte Little by 12 votes. In the Sandoval County-based 23rd District, Republican Alan Martinez won over Democrat Ramon Montano, flipping the seat currently held by retiring Democrat Rep. Daymon Ely to the Republican column.

One Republican incumbent lost reelection, Rep. Jane Powdrell-Culbert of Corrales, who was defeated by Democrat Kathleen Cates. That leaves Republicans with 26 seats in the 70-member chamber if the results hold. This is a slight gain from the current 24 seats held in the state House. 

The losses in the state legislature came after Democrats’ aggressive partisan gerrymandering to benefit far-left Democrats. 

Both Democrat U.S. Reps. Melanie Stansbury of the First District and Teresa Leger Fernandez of the Third District easily won reelection, while Republican Congresswoman Yvette Herrell’s seat in the Second District remains too close to call. 

Republican Alexis Martinez Johnson trailed Leger Fernandez 42 percent to 58 percent. Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes trailed Stansbury 44 percent to 56 percent.

All statewide races for secretary of state, state treasurer, state land commissioner, attorney general, and state auditor swung toward Democrats, while all Democrat Court of Appeals and Supreme Court judges won their seats, keeping a 5-0 Democrat majority on the state’s highest court. 

All constitutional amendments and bond issues passed overwhelmingly, one of which will rob billions from the state’s Permanent Fund for socialist “free” daycare programs. 

Other high-profile races, such as Bernalillo County’s sheriff race, where billionaire Michael Bloomberg dunked large sums of cash into to help the Democrat, John Allen, swing in his favor also. 

More information will be added to this article when it becomes available.

Election results: MLG gets another term, GOP makes slight gains in state House Read More »

Soros family, Bloomberg spend last-ditch cash to help Lujan Grisham

According to Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham’s campaign filing between October 4, 2022, and November 1, 2022, the far-left governor got a last-ditch surge of cash from the George Soros family — this time from Soros’ third child Jonathan and his wife, Jennifer.

The billionaire’s son and his wife gave $10,000 each to Lujan Grisham on October 6. 

The Democratic Governors Association (DGA)-linked PAC “A Stronger New Mexico,” which is helping Lujan Grisham, received an October 7 surge of cash from Democrat billionaire ex-New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg. He dunked $1 million into the PAC to help save the governor’s hide. His anti-gun group “Everytown for Gun Safety” also dunked $100,000 into the PAC. 

Other contributions to the pro-Lujan Grisham PAC included $150,000.00 from the abortion up-to-birth group EMILY’s List, as well as $4.7 million from the DGA, and $150,000 from the enviro-Marxist Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) Votes.

On Lujan Grisham’s campaign financials, she was outraised by Republican Mark Ronchetti, who beat her in the fundraising period by around $80,000. Ronchetti brought in $1,414,005.53, Lujan Grisham raised $1,334,096.93, while Libertarian candidate Karen Bedonie brought in $10,242.74.

Lujan also received contributions from many Democrat state senators and representatives, including Rep. Liz Thomson (D-Bernalillo) and Katy Duhigg (D-Bernalillo), among others. State Rep. Antonio “Moe” Maestas (D-Bernalillo), who is angling for an appointment to a vacant state Senate seat left open by Jacob Candelaria, gave Lujan Grisham a $1,000 contribution on October 11. He then gave Lujan Grisham an additional $5,000 contribution on October 25 — six days after Candelaria’s sudden resignation.

Approximately 81 of her contributions during the period came from attorneys, 13 from those identifying themselves as “CEOs,” 20 from professors, and 15 from artists, among others. She also received $3,000 from far-left actress Jane Fonda. The Planned Parenthood abortion business gave her $1,325.66 in in-kind contributions during the period. 

Expenditures from Lujan Grisham were mostly for airtime and expenses paid through the Democrat Party of New Mexico. She paid her former communications director Tripp Stelnicki $10,000 during the period for “consulting services” while also spending big on polling, such as a $26,925.00 expense on October 28 and a $34,800.00 expense on October 14 to the pollster Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Inc. in Washington, D.C. 

Soros family, Bloomberg spend last-ditch cash to help Lujan Grisham Read More »

Ronchetti once again outraises Lujan Grisham

As Election Day nears, Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is getting even worse news about her toss-up reelection bid against Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Ronchetti. 

Ronchetti once again bested Lujan Grisham in fundraising for the third General Election fundraising period by around $80,000. Ronchetti brought in $1,414,005.53, Lujan Grisham raised $1,334,096.93, while Libertarian candidate Karen Bedonie brought in $10,242.74. 

Ronchetti spent $3,562,545.45 during the period, while Lujan Grisham doled out $2,669,831.35. The Republican’s cash on hand is $346,248.08 compared to Lujan Grisham’s at $351,716.53. Bedonie spent $10,616.23 during the period, with $3,042.45 cash on hand. Ronchetti spent most of his money on television advertisements and production costs, as did Lujan Grisham. Other large expenditures included those for postage and mailings. 

This is the third time Ronchetti has outraised the governor. His strong fundraising shows his viability, which is now reflected in many recent polls.

The latest Emerson College poll showed Ronchetti trailing Lujan Grisham by a mere three points, which was within the margin of error. A Trafalgar Group poll released late last month showed Ronchetti leading the governor by 1.1 percent.

The Republican has been blasting Lujan Grisham on the airwaves, in the mail, and in other forms about her constant scandals as chief executive. These include the early release of violent criminals who later ended up committing heinous crimes. 

One case, in particular, that of a twice-released man named Chris Beltran, ended up with the murder of his ex-girlfriend, Domonique Gonzales, who he threatened to kill while still behind bars. Despite this, Lujan Grisham’s regime repeatedly released him. 

Another scandal being brought into focus is Lujan Grisham’s $150,000 payout to a former staffer over sexual assault claims that she poured water over his crotch area and then groped his penis through his trousers. 

Early voting continues in New Mexico until this Saturday, November 5, while Election Day is next Tuesday, November 8. 

Ronchetti once again outraises Lujan Grisham Read More »

Lujan Grisham, Biden lie repeatedly during ABQ campaign stop

On Thursday, Joe Biden flew to Albuquerque to campaign for Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, who faces a tough reelection against Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Ronchetti. The latest polls show the race within the margin of error. 

During Lujan Grisham’s remarks to the crowd, she lied about her record, including claims that New Mexico is “the only state in the country” that is “moving children and families out of poverty.” In actuality, New Mexico ranks at the bottom for child well-being and is third-worst for poverty while being the most federally dependent state in the union.

She claimed, “The only thing my opponent stands for today is repealing and taking from you every single educational investment, every investment in free childcare, every investment in your sons and daughters, in your family. Every single one.” New Mexico remains at the bottom for child literacy, mathematics, and education in general, according to federal statistics. The state only ranks higher than the territory of Puerto Rico and even trails the District of Columbia.

Lujan Grisham also chided Ronchetti for not sitting down along with her during a televised debate, claiming he wasn’t being kind.

She then said she stands for “doing right for people, telling the truth, being who you are.” This comes as newly released texts appear to show she and her staff cheated during a 2018 KOB 4 debate, where an official from the television station gave the governor the questions.

During Biden’s speech, he stumbled upon his words and had trouble pronouncing the names of all three Democrats running for the U.S. House of Representatives. He pronounced Democrat candidate Gabe Vasquez as “Vas-kwez” while having a difficult time with Reps. Teresa Leger Fernandez’s and Melanie Stansbury’s names.

Biden gave his full endorsement to Vasquez, who is rabidly supportive of defunding the police. 

He chided Republicans, repeatedly saying “MAGA Republicans” and “trickle-down economics” are the bane of the country. 

Biden touted his order to wipe out $10,000 in student debt per borrower and $20,000 total for those with Pell grants. He asked the crowd, “How many of you have student debt? Say goodbye. Say Goodbye.” He said, “We’re giving up 20 billion… 20 thousand to everyone with student debt.” 

He also lied about his work to supposedly “cut the federal debt.” He said, “We cut the federal debt in half. Fact!” The debt is currently $31.1 trillion, with the Biden regime adding nearly $10 trillion in new spending. 

Biden also said, “So the economy is up, price inflation is down, real incomes are up, gas prices are down!” All of these statements are untrue, as well as a claim that he “created” 10 million new jobs, which is patently false.

He also claimed, “Putin’s invasion of Ukraine sent gas prices soaring.” But gas prices have been soaring since he took office due to his anti-energy leftist policies that stopped the United States from being energy independent.

Then he mentioned abortion, falsely claiming Ronchetti will make abortion “go away” in New Mexico. That is untrue. Ronchetti has proposed the state Legislature pass a 15-week abortion limit that would be a constitutional amendment for the voters to decide at the next election.

Biden then falsely claimed, “They’re (Republicans) going after your right to vote and who is going to count your vote.” He then says that the Republican “state auditor” candidate is an “election denier” among other Republicans on the ballot. There is no GOP candidate for state auditor in November. 

Biden got confused after his speech and had to be guided off the podium by Lujan Grisham.

Other remarks of the day came from far-left Democrats, such as wildly unpopular Albuquerque Mayor Tim Keller, Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver, among others.

Lujan Grisham, Biden lie repeatedly during ABQ campaign stop Read More »

MLG got KOB 4 debate questions ahead of time: Texts

According to texts released by attorney Thomas Grover, Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham received questions ahead of time for the October 18, 2018, KOB 4 television debate during her first run for governor. 

The texts appear to show multiple correspondences between the governor and a KOB 4 representative, who asked, “I’ve seen the questions. Want them?” 

“Chris: Yeah, guys Theresa Cardenas and Theresa you have a question about water,” another text reads. 

“Cardenas: Yes I do. Through the Rio Grande Compact, New Mexico is forced [to] share water with other states. As governor, how would you deal with the water compact case the is before the US Supreme Court,” they continue. The texts appear to be from a teleprompter script.

Other texts included those about immigration, crime, among other issues.

The texts also appear to show the individual from KOB was supporting Lujan Grisham’s candidacy, writing she will “kill it” and “I’ve never wanted someone to be our governor more than I want to see Michelle.”

Following the release of the texts, Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Ronchetti’s campaign released a press release, where Ronchetti’s communications director Ryan Sabel said, “This governor has repeatedly dishonored her office and disrespected the people of New Mexico. She committed sexual assault and then paid off her victim with hush money. She played by her own set of rules during COVID. Now we see where it all started – brazenly cheating during a statewide television debate.” 

Ronchetti said in a statement, “These bombshell text messages show that Michelle Lujan Grisham will brazenly cheat and deceive New Mexicans in order to attain and hold onto her power. This governor is corrupt to the core and must be held accountable.” 

The campaign also released a timeline of the texts:

After the texts were released, KOB’s Vice President & General Manager, Michelle Donaldson, wrote the following in a statement:

“The Ronchetti campaign’s allegations that KOB-TV colluded with the Michelle Lujan Grisham campaign are patently false. For over 70 years, KOB-TV has adhered to the highest standards of journalism integrity and would never engage in behavior that would undermine our standards, the respect of our viewers, or the public trust. We take accusations like this, even unfounded ones, very seriously and if we find that a staff member acted on their own and without our knowledge they will no longer be part of the team at KOB-TV.

We actively invite the Ronchetti campaign and the alleged anonymous source to contact KOB-TV and share all relevant evidence so we can fully investigate these allegations and maintain our commitment to transparency and the high standards we have set for the people we serve in New Mexico.”

Ronchetti clapped back on Twitter with the identity of the text writer, KOB 4 photojournalist Joseph Lee Lynch writing, “What say you now @KOB4. Your ‘high standards’ demand a public apology on every newscast. And a rebuke of the governor for her participation in this highly unethical situation. Character matters. Accountability matters.” 

The governor’s race is hotly contested, with Ronchetti polling statistically even with Lujan Grisham, according to Emerson College’s survey. Another poll shows Ronchetti leading Lujan Grisham by one percentage point.

MLG got KOB 4 debate questions ahead of time: Texts Read More »

Biden’s NM campaign stop could hurt MLG: Report

In an article by The Hill about Joe Biden’s scheduled Thursday campaign stop in New Mexico to help far-left Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, it noted how Biden is political cancer for many Democrat politicians in tight races. Biden has a severely low approval rating nationwide, with only 40% of New Mexicans thinking of him favorably, according to a Civiqs poll conducted November 2, 2022.

The Hill wrote, “Lujan Grisham, who has been governor since 2019, is considered a rising star in the Democratic Party and was in the running for a Cabinet position in the Biden administration. Biden’s focus on New Mexico also comes as recent polling has shown that Hispanic support for Democrats has dwindled since the last midterm elections in 2018.”

“One strategist working on midterm campaigns described it as a ‘go hide and do no more damage’ approach, noting that when Biden was in Oregon last month, neither Democratic candidate in competitive House districts joined him for events.”

Biden admitted that he is hurting Democrats, especially with his low poll numbers. “At an August event with Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.), who is up for reelection in a state the Cook Political Report rates as ‘solid Democratic,’ Biden quipped that he told the senator ‘I’ll come campaign for him or against him, whichever will help the most,’” the report noted.

Former Democrat National Committee official Ivan Zapien said to The Hill that Lujan is a “rising star” in the Democrat Party, which is why Biden is turning his attention to New Mexico’s gubernatorial race.

Lujan Grisham’s campaign spokeswoman Delaney Corcoran claimed Lujan Grisham is “excited” for Biden’s visit, telling the Santa Fe New Mexican, “Governor Lujan Grisham is excited to host [Joe] Biden in New Mexico to help galvanize voters to elect Democrats up and down the ballot and encourage turnout across the state.”

Currently, Lujan Grisham is polling within the margin of error against Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Ronchetti, who is hitting the scandal-plagued governor hard over her failures in office. These include locking down the state during the pandemic, releasing violent criminals out on the streets, and her $150,000 hush money payoff with campaign funds to a former staffer who claims Lujan Grisham groped him. 

Lujan Grisham has had other prominent Democrats on the campaign trail to help boost her candidacy, including Kamala Harris and far-left California Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Early voting goes through this Saturday, and Election Day is on November 8.

Biden’s NM campaign stop could hurt MLG: Report Read More »

Poll: Herrell leads Vasquez, governor’s race a statistical tie

A new poll conducted by Emerson College for KRQE 13 shows Republican incumbent Rep. Yvette Herrell of New Mexico’s Second Congressional District is leading her Democrat challenger by double digits. 

Among likely voters. Herrell got 54 percent support, while Vasquez got 41 percent. Four percent of respondents were undecided. 

When the poll factored in undecided voters, Herrell led Vasquez by 54 to 44 percent — a ten percentage point advantage.

These numbers are starkly different than the Albuquerque Journal poll released earlier this week, claiming Herrell was trailing Vasquez by two percentage points.

The poll surveyed 203 likely voters between October 25 and October 28 with a margin of error of 5.6 percent. 

The same Emmerson poll also found Republican Mark Ronchetti trailing Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham by a mere three percentage points. 

However, when factoring in undecided voters and who they were leaning toward voting for at the time, Lujan Grisham got 50 percent support while Ronchetti garnered 48 percent — only a two-point lead.

The governor poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters during the same timeline. The margin of error was a smaller 3.02 percent, meaning the race is in a statistical tie. 

Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight rates Emerson College’s poll an A-, meaning it is one of the best in the nation.

Poll: Herrell leads Vasquez, governor’s race a statistical tie Read More »

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