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See how favorable Trump and Harris are in New Mexico, according to polls

The polling company Civiqs conducts periodical polls showing favorability for 45th President Donald Trump, the Republican 2024 presidential nominee, and Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee. 

According to the latest poll in New Mexico from August 1, 2024, Trump is rated 43 percent favorably among all likely voters and 53 percent unfavorably, with four percent of those polls undecided.

According to the latest numbers from July 28, 2024, Harris has a 36 percent favorability rating and a 56 percent unfavorability rating among New Mexico voters. This factored in her minor bump following Joe Biden’s ouster as the Democrats’ presidential candidate.

Thus, Trump has a seven percent edge over Harris in terms of favorability. Among independent voters, Harris has a 20 percent favorability rating and a 70 percent unfavorability rating, while Trump has a 50 percent favorability rating and a 43 percent unfavorability rating, meaning he has a +23 percent edge on Harris among independents. According to the latest registration statistics, independents or declined-to-state voters make up 23.4 percent of all those registered in New Mexico.

Among Hispanics, Harris is 39 percent favorable and 51 percent unfavorable. Trump is 44 percent favorable, while 53 percent see him unfavorably. Overall, Trump edges Harris by five points in this category.

With Harris being thrown on the ticket following Biden’s late exit from the race and Harris’ vast unfavorability with key demographics, Trump and other Republicans, such as U.S. Senate candidate Nella Domenici, have a shot at flipping the Land of Enchantment red in November if they can energize voters to come in droves to the polls and outperform any election-related chicanery that may come from the left. 

To see the survey on Trump, click here, and to see the survey on Harris, click here. Civiqs is rated 2.5 out of 3 stars on Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings.

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KOAT 7 slaps Heinrich with cold, hard facts after fake attack ad on Domenici

Democrat Sen. Martin Heinrich recently launched an attack ad targeting his opponent, Republican Nella Domenici, in the race for U.S. Senate. The ad, currently airing in the Albuquerque television market, claims that Domenici “hadn’t lived in New Mexico since 1973, back when Richard Nixon was president,” in an apparent attempt to hide his own lack of connection with the state. However, an investigation by KOAT 7 News reveals that this claim is false.

Key Claims Examined

In the ad, Heinrich’s campaign suggests that Domenici is not genuinely connected to New Mexico, labeling her as an outsider. The ad states, “Wall Street’s got enough senators. We need one who will fight for us.” Political analyst Brian Sanderoff believes the objective of the ad is to paint Domenici as an outsider attempting to buy a Senate seat, contrasting Heinrich’s previous campaign strategy of largely ignoring his opponent.

The Facts

Claim: Domenici Hasn’t Lived in New Mexico Since 1973

KOAT 7 News found this claim to be false. While Domenici owns properties in Connecticut and New York, she also owns a home in Santa Fe, New Mexico. Records indicate that she and her husband have owned the Santa Fe property since at least 2006, maintaining it as their New Mexico residence for nearly two decades.

Claim: Domenici’s Properties

The ad also claims Domenici lives in a waterfront mansion in Connecticut and owns a $5 million apartment in New York City. KOAT 7 confirmed these claims as true. Domenici purchased the Connecticut property for $4.1 million in 2017, and her New York apartment, located on 5th Avenue, was bought for $8.6 million in 2015, now valued at approximately $9.7 million — a rather wise investment, increasing in value by over 12.7 percent or over $1 million. 

Shameless Irony of Heinrich’s Background

Adding an ironic twist, Heinrich himself was not born in New Mexico. He hails from Nebraska and was raised in Missouri, only moving to New Mexico as a graduate student at the University of New Mexico. 

“There is some irony in Heinrich’s ad. He himself was not born in New Mexico. He is originally from Nebraska and was raised in Missouri. He came to New Mexico when he became a graduate student at UNM,” the outlet reported.

Although his campaign asserts that “he has lived in Albuquerque ever since,” Heinrich currently resides in Silver Spring, Maryland—not in New Mexico. As widely reported after Heinrich was elected to Congress over a decade ago, Heinrich moved his entire family to primarily live in Maryland. 

Slapped with Facts

KOAT 7’s investigation highlights that the core claim of Heinrich’s ad, which asserts that Domenici has not lived in New Mexico since 1973, is demonstrably false. Domenici’s long-standing connection to New Mexico, including her longtime ownership of a home in Santa Fe, contradicts the narrative portrayed in the ad.

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As Lujan Grisham mandates EVs, sales continue to crater

Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham’s administration in New Mexico has faced significant criticism for its focus on electric vehicle (EV) mandates while the state struggles with increasing crime rates. The governor’s ambitious plan requires that 43% of all new vehicle sales be electric by 2026, a target that appears increasingly unrealistic given current trends in EV adoption and the state’s pressing public safety concerns, per the Rio Grande Foundation.

Recent data indicates that consumer interest in EVs in New Mexico is lukewarm, with EV registrations declining to 4.59% in the first quarter of 2024. This is significantly lower than the state’s ambitious target and suggests a disconnect between the administration’s goals and consumer preferences. Critics argue that the high cost of EVs, coupled with a lack of infrastructure, makes them inaccessible to many residents, especially given New Mexico’s median household income of around $56,420, which falls below the average cost of an EV​​.

This issue is not unique to New Mexico. Similar trends have been observed in other states with stringent EV mandates, such as Washington, where sales have also fallen short of targets. The challenge of pushing EVs in a market where consumer interest is tepid raises questions about the practicality of such mandates​​.

Moreover, the focus on EVs comes at a time when New Mexico faces significant crime-related issues. The state has seen rising crime rates, and many residents feel that public safety should be a more immediate priority. 

Gov. Lujan Grisham called a special legislative session to address these concerns, proposing measures such as changes to the state’s criminal competency laws and increased penalties for certain offenses, but within five hours, Democrats moved to adjourn without passing any meaningful crime measures except the bill to fund the session, which tacked on funds for assisted outpatient treatment. 

However, the governor’s EV push has overshadowed these efforts, leading to criticism that her administration’s priorities are misplaced​​.

Local car dealers also face challenges due to the mandate, as they are now forced to pivot toward selling EVs despite consumers not wanting to buy them. This situation could impact sales and profitability, particularly in a state where many residents may not have the financial means to purchase higher-cost EVs, not to mention the state being so rural, that EVs are not practical for traveling long distances. 

As New Mexico approaches the deadline for the EV mandate, uncertainty looms. However, it is clear that people do not want to buy these vehicles.

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NM House Speaker implies MLG’s focus on public safety for the ‘TV cameras’

In a recent social media post, Democrat New Mexico House Speaker Javier Martinez took a critical stance against Democrat Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham, suggesting that her emphasis on addressing crime was primarily for the sake of “tv cameras (sic).” Martinez’s comments come in the aftermath of a failed special legislative session aimed at tackling public safety issues, which concluded abruptly after just five hours without passing significant crime-related bills.

The special session, called by Lujan Grisham earlier this month, was intended to address pressing concerns regarding crime, including repeat offenders and public safety measures. 

However, the session ended without progress on the proposed agenda, leading to frustration among legislators and constituents alike, with Democrats unwilling to remain in Santa Fe to pass any meaningful legislation to assist with the crime epidemic.

“We can’t put the cart before the horse or criminalize people for being unhoused. We’ll continue rebuilding our systems & stay true to our NM values of compassion for ALL our neighbors. Public safety work must go on, even when the tv cameras (sic) stop – we’re back at it in CCJ on 8/12,” he wrote, referring to the Legislative Courts, Corrections, and Justice Committee.

Lujan Grisham has been vocal in recent months about the need for tougher measures against crime, particularly targeting repeat violent offenders. However, critics argue that her approach lacks the necessary legislative support and consensus to implement effective policies. 

The brief duration of the special session, which adjourned without substantial progress, highlights the challenges in reaching consensus on contentious issues such as criminal justice reform.

The discord between legislative leaders and the governor’s office reflects broader disagreements over the best approaches to tackle crime in the state. 

The political dynamics surrounding crime policy in New Mexico are likely to remain contentious as stakeholders seek consensus, as Lujan Grisham travels around the state attempting to get community support for her initiatives.

NM House Speaker implies MLG’s focus on public safety for the ‘TV cameras’ Read More »

Vasquez campaign loses it after NRCC names Herrell to ‘Young Guns’ program

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has included Yvette Herrell on its initial list of 26 candidates for the 2024 Young Guns program, signaling a significant endorsement for her campaign. Herrell, who is running in New Mexico’s Second Congressional District to flip it from Democrat Rep. Gabe Vasquez, is positioned as a key contender in the upcoming elections.

NRCC Spokeswoman Delanie Bomar praised Herrell’s candidacy, stating, “Extreme House Democrat Gabe Vasquez has fueled the border, crime and cost of living crises that are wreaking havoc on New Mexicans’ safety and security. Yvette Herrell is in a prime position to flip New Mexico’s 2nd District red and help grow our House majority in November.” Bomar’s comments highlight the NRCC’s belief in Herrell’s potential to make a significant impact in this crucial race.

The move, however, triggered panicked responses from the Gabe Vasquez campaign, which wrote in a fundraising email, “The NRCC is pumping MILLIONS into expanding their House majority, flipping the Senate, and painting the White House RED. Up and down their path of mass destruction, MAGA extremists are doing anything to sabotage Gabe.” 

“MAGA Republicans, the NRCC, and Yvette Herrell are all scrambling to incite as much chaos and division as possible ahead of Election Day. Their attacks are only going to get worse…. MAGA Republicans can try to spread their insidious lies and extremist agendas, but they can’t run away from the truth: Team Vasquez flipped this district blue and has what it takes to hold Gabe’s seat,” the campaign claimed.

The Young Guns program is designed to support and mentor Republican candidates across the nation, providing them with the essential tools and resources needed to run competitive and successful campaigns. Candidates selected for this program are required to achieve specific goals and benchmarks throughout the election cycle. This structured approach ensures that their campaigns remain competitive, well-funded, and actively engaged with their constituents.

The Young Guns program’s comprehensive support system is intended to strengthen Republican campaigns by offering strategic guidance and boosting visibility. For Herrell, this endorsement not only signifies national recognition but also a robust support network as she prepares for a challenging election battle.

In addition to Herrell, the Young Guns list includes a diverse group of candidates from across the country. Notable names on the list are Nancy Dahlstrom from Alaska’s At-Large District, Caroleene Dobson from Alabama’s 2nd District, and Scott Baugh from California’s 47th District. Other candidates include Kevin Lincoln (CA-09), Jeff Hurd (CO-03), and Mayra Flores (TX-34), among others.

The selection of Herrell and her fellow candidates underscores the NRCC’s strategic focus on key battleground districts and races where Republican candidates are poised to make significant gains. The Young Guns program aims to harness this momentum, providing a strong foundation for these candidates as they navigate the complexities of their campaigns.

With the backing of the NRCC and the support of the Young Guns program, Yvette Herrell is well-positioned to make a strong push in New Mexico’s 2nd District, working toward a pivotal win in the November elections.

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‘Keep their a**es in jail!’ MLG slammed over failed crime policy at ABQ town hall

At a town hall meeting on Monday night at Central New Mexico Community College, New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham faced intense scrutiny from residents, including poignant testimony from Sally Sanchez, who lost her son Antonio Jaramillo to violence in 2020. Sanchez shared her heartache directly with the governor, saying, “I, Governor, am the one with a life sentence. I will never get to hear my son’s voice again.”

Sanchez, co-founder of the New Mexico Crusaders for Justice, urged the governor to address concerns about the revolving door of repeat violent offenders. Her advocacy group, which supports families affected by murder, joined several others in pressing for stronger measures to keep repeat offenders behind bars.

Governor Lujan Grisham responded by acknowledging the issue, stating, “Too many cases are not being prosecuted.” She emphasized the need to enhance the justice system to ensure “dangerous people who are convicted of crimes stay in jail until they’re held accountable” while also investing in prevention programs.

This town hall was part of a series aimed at tackling public safety concerns. Lujan Grisham’s earlier town hall in Las Cruces lasted five hours and attracted over 500 attendees. The final town hall is set for Tuesday at 5:30 p.m. in Española at the Northern New Mexico College Event Center.

During Monday’s event, Lujan Grisham was joined by a panel including Albuquerque Mayor Tim Keller, APS Chief Harold Medina, and Bernalillo County Sheriff John Allen — all Democrats. The meeting, which extended nearly four hours, allowed the governor to hear directly from the public about their concerns, ranging from mental health services to criminal justice reform.

Attendees voiced frustration over what they perceived as ineffective responses to crime. One participant, expressing dissatisfaction with the pace of legislative action, said, “I’m tired of people getting like strategies, strategies, strategies. It’s like a football team you’re out there in the huddle you’re all strategizing, yet nobody says ‘Break let’s get out there on the field and actually do the work.’”

The governor also faced interruptions from five young protesters who repeatedly disrupted the meeting to protest U.S. involvement in the Israel-Hamas conflict before being escorted out by police.

William Davis, who survived a shooting in Albuquerque 25 years ago, called for a reconsideration of the Bill Davis Kids, Car and Crime Law, which was overturned by the New Mexico Supreme Court after an ACLU lawsuit.

Lujan Grisham had previously proposed several public safety bills during a special legislative session earlier this month, including measures to address panhandling and reduce criminal offenses among individuals deemed incompetent to stand trial. 

However, the Legislature only passed a funding bill for wildfire relief and mental health programs, leaving her other proposals unaddressed.

The governor has until August 7 to sign the funding bill, which authorizes $100 million for wildfire relief and $3 million for expanding a judicial mental health program.

State Rep. Stefani Lord (R-Sandia Park), who was at the town hall, wrote on social media, “Tensions are high here at the Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham crime town hall. The meeting started with interruptions and booing. People are angry and sick of the crime!”

She added, “It is surreal to hear the Governor discussing bills I have presented, like pretrial detention, to address crime.  Yet, how many years have MLG and the radical Dems REFUSED to pass anything to protect the citizens of New Mexico? And now, all of a sudden, crime is an issue in an election year? Where the hell has MLG been all these years? Why do the radical progressives want criminals loose on the streets to re-offend? Why do they REFUSE to listen to the people? It’s time to stop screwing the people with partisan politics and pass common-sense crime bills!”

As the governor prepares for the final town hall in Española, she continues to grapple with public outrage over the lack of action on crime during her over-six-year tenure. 

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NM leftists say Kamala Harris’ prosecutor past is ‘problematic’ for them

In a recent discussion about Kamala Harris as the presumptive Democrat nominee for president, several New Mexico-based pro-abortion and “LGBTQ” groups expressed mixed reactions. 

Marshall Martinez, executive director of Equality New Mexico, voiced enthusiasm about Harris’s candidacy, noting, “It’s exciting to see a woman of color campaign for president.” However, he also acknowledged concerns, mentioning Harris’s controversial history as a prosecutor, stating, “Every candidate will likely be problematic for us in some kind of way.”

Rachel Lorenzo, founder and Executive Director of Indigenous Women Rising, offered a more neutral perspective. While acknowledging Harris’s engagement with issues like Black women’s maternal mortality rates, Lorenzo expressed reservations about Harris’s overall stance on “reproductive justice” (abortion).

Lorenzo emphasized that reproductive justice “isn’t just about abortion access; it’s about safe communities, access to good education, clean environments to raise our families in,” and raised concerns about Harris’s record on prostitution, pointing out that during her tenure in California, Harris supported shutting down websites that allowed “sex workers” to advertise safely.

Lorenzo also expressed frustration with the Biden administration’s lack of action on the Hyde Amendment, which restricts federal funding for abortion. 

Lorenzo highlighted the need for concrete actions over rhetoric, stating, “We heard great words from Biden on the campaign about protecting abortion access. One of the most basic things he could have done was recodify Roe v. Wade.”

The mixed reactions highlight a broader concern among some advocates about Harris’ ability to address the complexities of certain issues that placate the far-left progressives. 

While Martinez is hopeful about Harris’ potential impact, despite her “problematic” record, Lorenzo remains cautious, emphasizing the importance of action over words in addressing these critical issues.

Leftists are breaking with Harris over certain issues, and conservatives are alarmed at her far-left past, notably her being named the most progressive member while serving in the U.S. Senate. It is unclear how this will shape the race in New Mexico.

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Alternate reality: MLG says everything is fine at border czar Kamala Harris’ border

In a Sunday appearance on “Face the Nation,” New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham faced scrutiny over her responses to questions about the state’s handling of the border crisis. Despite mounting evidence and concerns from residents and officials in other border states, Lujan Grisham’s defensive posture and dismissive remarks about the crisis have drawn significant criticism.

During the interview, Robert Costa questioned the governor about the Biden administration’s border policies and her role in addressing the issues. Lujan Grisham claimed, “Right now, border crossings are as low as they’ve ever been, certainly lower than they were in the Trump administration.”

This false assertion starkly contrasts with reports indicating ongoing challenges at the border, including increased encounters and a strain on local resources. The Center Square reported, “Accounting for all the data, including new ways the Biden administration is allowing foreign nationals to enter the country, the claims are verifiably false.”

Since Biden took power, at least 10 million illegal aliens have traveled illegally across the southern border. Since also since Biden took office in January 2021, fentanyl-related deaths have skyrocketed. In 2021 alone, there were over 71,000 deaths involving synthetic opioids, primarily fentanyl. The crisis continued into 2022, with fentanyl being involved in nearly 70% of all drug overdose deaths, totaling approximately 73,838 deaths for the year.

However, Gov. Lujan Grisham has failed to take any measures to secure New Mexico’s border. Unlike all other border-state governors — Democrat and Republican — who have implemented stricter security protocols, Lujan Grisham has not committed to similar actions, leaving New Mexico vulnerable to the ramifications of inadequate border control. Her refusal to acknowledge the severity of the situation and to implement robust measures has been a point of contention.

When pressed about the need for more Border Patrol agents, Lujan Grisham deflected, attributing the lack of resources to Congressional inaction. She stated, “They [Republicans] did not do anything to pass a bipartisan border deal that put 1,500 more Border Patrol and 1,200 more ICE agents.” The so-called “deal” she referred to would have given mass amnesty to millions of criminal aliens entering the country illegally, a non-starter. 

However, facts show that this response overlooks her administration’s responsibility in advocating for and securing necessary resources to protect the state and its residents due to her pulling of the National Guard from the border and refusal to consider legislation to assist with the humanitarian crisis, which has opened up a channel for deadly fentanyl to kill countless citizens.

She then praised Joe Biden’s border czar, Kamala Harris, saying, “Hispanic voters here want is a prosecutor who’s got a history in a border state dealing with border and immigration issues that can cause risk, like her prosecution successfully and transnational gangs on drugs and guns.”

“And this is the second time we’ve seen Trump and his cast of characters be really clear. They don’t want immigration reform. They want fear, they want division, they’re going to continue to demonize Hispanics and Latinos and immigrant communities. And you know what they see? They see someone who’s tough, fair, balanced, pragmatic, and somebody they can relate to in terms of her own family. That motivates Hispanic voters,” she added. 

When asked about Harris being in charge of the border catastrophe, she said, “Well, as a straight shooter, thank you, Robert, and thank you, New Mexico voters. We have to be engaged in better diplomacy in Central America and South America. She did that very effectively.”

Lujan Grisham’s handling of the border issue is a stark disconnect from the realities faced by many in New Mexico and other border states. A recent FBI report noted the border crisis’ effect on higher crime in New Mexico. Her interview highlighted a concerning lack of urgency and proactive measures to address the complex challenges posed by the border crisis. This stance has led to growing frustration among constituents who feel that their concerns are being dismissed or minimized by state leadership.

Alternate reality: MLG says everything is fine at border czar Kamala Harris’ border Read More »

NM Dem delegates fall in line, pledge to back Harris for presidency

Joe Biden won New Mexico’s primary election earlier this year, securing a significant portion of the state’s delegates. With Biden announcing that he will not seek reelection, these delegates are now falling in line with party bosses and supporting Kamala Harris as the Democrat nominee.

New Mexico’s delegates will attend the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in Chicago next month to elect the party’s presidential and vice presidential candidates and set the party’s platform. The state has 45 delegates and three alternates for this event.

Following Biden’s announcement, Democrat leaders in New Mexico expressed their support for Harris. Among the supporters are the state’s 11 automatic delegates, including Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham, who praised Harris for her experience as a former prosecutor and her advocacy for reproductive rights.

New Mexico’s congressional delegation also endorsed Harris, with Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez highlighting Harris’ ability to bring “renewed energy, unity, and vibrancy” to the race, despite Harris’ far-left record and divisive rhetoric toward Republicans, young people, and many other groups. The state’s Democrat Party Chair, Jessica Velasquez, and Vice Chair, Manny Crespin, claimed Harris had extensive qualifications and experience.

As Harris began her campaign, she emphasized issues such as economic justice, gun safety, and reproductive rights. She is focusing on attacking 45th President Donald J. Trump, making erroneous claims he is attacking women’s rights, despite her supporting men taking women’s places in sports.

Delegates from New Mexico, including those from various congressional districts, are aligning behind Harris. Some have discussed potential vice-presidential picks, considering candidates from states like North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Kentucky to balance the ticket. 

Albuquerque Mayor Tim Keller, one of the pledged party leaders and elected official delegates, expressed his anticipation for participating in the convention, highlighting the importance of shaping the country’s direction at this critical moment. The nomination of Harris will happen in August during a “virtual” process, which many have noted is undemocratic and lacking transparency, especially since Harris has not won a single vote in the Democrat primary for president. 

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New Mexicans get more bad news amid crippling inflation crisis

New Mexico residents are bracing for a rise in their gas bills following the New Mexico Public Regulation Commission’s recent approval of a rate increase for New Mexico Gas Co. The decision, part of a settlement agreement, will see the average residential bill—based on usage of 53 therms per month—increase by $4.21, or 7%, starting October 1. 

This is less than the gas company’s initial request, which sought a more significant rate hike to cover a $30 million revenue deficiency; the final settlement brought this down by $19 million.

Commissioner Gabriel Aguilera expressed satisfaction with the settlement, stating, “I’m happy here with how the parties were able to reach an agreement.” However, the decision comes amidst broader economic pressures that are already straining household budgets.

New Mexico’s residents are facing increased costs across the board, particularly in essential areas like groceries and gasoline. Gas prices have seen a significant rise, with the cost per gallon for regular unleaded gasoline averaging $3.60 in 2024, reflecting a broader trend of rising energy costs nationwide. This marks a considerable increase from previous years, exacerbating the financial burden on consumers​.

Grocery prices have also climbed, with the latest data indicating a 0.2% increase from May to June 2024. Year-over-year, grocery costs have risen by 1.1%, contributing to a broader trend of food inflation that has seen prices increase by 26% since 2020. This situation is particularly challenging for low-income households, who are disproportionately affected by rising costs for everyday necessities.

The cumulative effect of these increases is placing significant stress on New Mexico’s residents, many of whom are already struggling in an inflationary economy under the Joe Biden/Kamala Harris administration. Though lower than initially proposed, the approved gas rate hike adds another layer of financial pressure. 

As Public Regulation Commissioner Pat O’Connell noted, while the settlement may work in this instance, the broader economic context necessitates careful consideration of future rate adjustments and their impacts on consumers.

These rising costs underscore the importance of effective regulatory oversight and support measures to help mitigate the economic burden on New Mexicans.

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