According to a poll commissioned by the leftist New Mexico Political Report (NMPR), which is affiliated with the George Soros-funded ProgressNow New Mexico, Democrat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is in serious trouble.
The poll shows Lujan Grisham barely leading with 45%. Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Ronchetti trails with 42%, while 9% said they are voting for Libertarian Karen Bedonie. Bedonie was formerly running for governor as a Republican but switched her party affiliation. She won the Libertarian primary against write-in candidate Ginger Grider.
According to NMPR, the poll is within the margin of error for Lujan Grisham — showing dangerous territory for the vulnerable Democrat. It was done by Public Policy Polling, which is rated an A- on FiveThirtyEight and skews Democrat by 0.9 percentage points.
“Lujan Grisham holds a large lead among those who voted for Biden in 2020, 86 percent to 6 percent, with 4 percent saying they would vote for Bedonie. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among Trump voters 88 percent to 8 percent for Bedonie and 1 percent for Lujan Grisham,” wrote NMPR.
A recent internal poll from the Ronchetti campaign showed that Lujan Grisham is trailing him by one point, but it did not specify if respondents voting for Bedonie were factored in.
The seat is one that is in the pick-up column for Republicans. The Republican Governors Association (RGA)-affiliated “Get Families Back to Work” group has already booked hundreds of thousands in television airtime targeting Lujan Grisham on multiple scandals, including the misuse of her discretionary fund to buy luxury $200/lb Wagyu beef steaks, alcohol (which is prohibited), and other unscrupulous goods, such as dry cleaning and products for her pet.
The Albuquerque Journal reported that the RGA was spending around $179,000 so far this cycle in New Mexico.