New poll exposes growing fear among New Mexico voters
A new poll out of New Mexico is doing more than measuring the governor’s race, as we have previously reported. It is exposing a growing sense of unease among voters that could shape the 2026 election in ways campaigns may not be fully accounting for.
According to the latest survey from Emerson College Polling and KRQE News 13, one statistic stands out above the rest. Half of likely primary voters say they feel less safe today than they did just one year ago. Only 13% say they feel more safe, while 37% say things have not changed.
That shift in perception is not happening in a vacuum. It is showing up in how voters rank their priorities.
Healthcare and the economy tied as the top issues at 23% each. Right behind them is crime at 17%, placing it firmly in the top tier of concerns. That ranking, combined with the sharp drop in perceived safety, signals that public safety could become a central issue in the months ahead.
Another major flashpoint in the poll is the state’s handling of child welfare.
Nearly half of voters, 49%, say they disapprove of how Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is running the Children, Youth and Families Department. Just 18% approve. That gap highlights one of the weakest areas for the current administration in the survey.
Voters are not just dissatisfied. Many appear ready for structural change. When asked about a potential constitutional amendment to remove the governor’s authority to appoint the head of CYFD, 46% said they would support it. Only 22% opposed the idea, while nearly a third remain undecided.
That level of support for a major change suggests frustration that goes beyond policy disagreements and into questions about accountability.
The poll also paints a picture of a politically unsettled electorate.
President Donald Trump holds a 37% approval rating among likely primary voters, while 56% disapprove. Gov. Lujan Grisham’s numbers are similarly divided, with 40% approving and 42% disapproving.
Neither side appears to have a firm grip on public sentiment, despite New Mexico’s recent history leaning Democratic in statewide races.
Looking deeper, the poll shows clear differences in how voters prioritize issues based on party.
Democrats list healthcare as their top concern at 29%. Republicans also put healthcare first at 21%. Independents take a different view, ranking the economy as their top issue at 23%, followed by education and healthcare at 15% each.
That divide could prove critical in a state where independent voters often play a deciding role.
Taken together, the findings suggest that while campaigns focus heavily on candidate matchups, many voters are focused on something more immediate.
Safety. Stability. And whether state leadership is effectively handling core responsibilities.
Those concerns may ultimately shape the direction of the race more than any single candidate advantage.
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