New poll: Herrell pulls ahead of Vasquez in one of tightest U.S. House races

An internal poll conducted by the Tarrance Group for former Representative Yvette Herrell (R) and the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) shows Herrell leading incumbent Representative Gabe Vasquez (D) within the margin of error. 

The poll, conducted from July 11-14 among 400 likely voters, reports Herrell ahead with 48% compared to Vasquez’s 46%, within the poll’s margin of error of ±4.9%.

According to a polling memo shared with Hotline, the generic ballot test also gave Republicans a slight advantage, with 46% support compared to 45% for Democrats. This survey was released following Vasquez’s first campaign advertisement against Herrell in June.

The race in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district is one of the most competitive in the country, according to Hotline analysis. The political landscape has evolved since the survey, with growing Democratic optimism about Vice President Kamala Harris’s potential to outperform President Biden in Sun Belt states like New Mexico. This shift might bolster Vasquez’s chances, potentially tipping the scales in this closely contested race.

The poll results come as new information about Vasquez’s past emerges, including allegations of him using a racial slur against a former colleague and an arrest warrant executed by El Paso police earlier this year. The NRCC suggests that as voters become more aware of these issues, Herrell’s lead could widen.

NRCC spokeswoman Delanie Bomar commented, “Gabe Vasquez is shaking in his boots knowing his extreme policies and troubled past are putting his electoral chances in danger. With Yvette Herrell on the ballot, this district is in a prime position to flip red.”

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17 thoughts on “New poll: Herrell pulls ahead of Vasquez in one of tightest U.S. House races”

  1. Yvette, I can’t express this enough to you… You must win the North to take the seat. And then you must do more for the ENTIRE State of New Mexico once you are in office.

    It is going to take ALL of US for you to win. Thus you must be in front of us, face to face earning that vote. We need to flip the seat to Red, but we need a true leader. Not another puppet by another name.

    Peace,
    Rev. Rico

    1. Sadly the alternative to Mrs. Herrel is not an option.
      We have a DNC puppet right now in CD2. If we change the color and end up with another Puppet but with the GOP, at least that puppet will not support killing infants “lawfully” up to the seconds prior to birth and authorize killing the child for any propose whatsoever.
      IDK about you, but I’m pretty sure I’ll go with the puppet that believes in moderation and who will permit infants in the womb to enjoy the thought of life and living.
      Sometimes, only one belief and just cause a puppet has should be good enough to change the puppet.

      1. Clare May, I get your point.
        I, however, am striving to ensure that all elected leadership are true leaders. One does not need to be a puppet to stand for life in the womb. One does however, need to have fortitude, faith, and integrity to fight for the unborn against this evil faction. We need strong leadership.
        The issue with any puppet, whether on our side of the isle or not, is that any hand that fits, controls the puppet. And a lot of cash can fit in a hand. Get my point?

        So let us strive for better leaders with an actual spine.

  2. Marcello T Hinojosa

    If you want a better safe New Mexico then vote for Yvette. If you want high crime then vote for the Antifa wannabe. Simple as that.

  3. This is good news for Herrell. For New Mexico, the question isn’t “Green or red but ” Red or blue?”. Choose red.

  4. It’s imperative that we all get out and vote for Yvette in November. Don’t sit on your hands … go vote!

  5. With his criminal background, it’s easy to see why Vasquez supports anti -cop candidate Kamala Harris.

  6. Clare A May, retired

    Gabby got a ticket in…? El Paso. like…when he was a teenager-young adult… and Gabby there raised in Juarez, Mexico… as a kid…
    Mexicans from Mexico apparently do not feel a need to contribute fines to the State of Texas unless? Unless they get caught… When they are in their 40’s? After they get elected to Congress, and that’s the Congress of the USA and not…Mexico.
    It must be an environmental conditional training thing because Mexicans from Mexico do the same thing here in New Mexico…I wrote a boatload of traffic citations to people living in Palomas, Mexico in my time… I’m thinking less than 20 % ever showed up for Court. I’m thinking, they dont have too…because well, your know…they live in Mexico.

    IMHO, I think they are above American law when living in Mexico. Doing the right thing from the start is like, a challenge to avoid responsibility and not a required action…. he** even if they would even show up and challenge the citation would have at least been an option…but they dont even do that most of the time. 1 in 5…and the environment raised is shown in the contempt for America by what Gabby did all those years…avoiding a simple ticket.

  7. Kamala and Gabe what a pair! Kamala is for bailing out violent criminals and Gabe wants to defund the police!

  8. Gabe also supports genocide of Jews. He refused to hear Netanyahu’s speech. This is what the Nazis were all about. They call Trump Hitler but they know Hitler best. Vote Yvette and all republicans. We need to get rid of the evil in the state of New Mexico.

  9. Vasquez snubbed Netanyahu’s speech at Capitol Hill. Rude. Not surprising; he disrespects law enforcement too.

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